Sasaram(SC) Parliament Constituency Analysis:

Past Results of Sasaram(SC) Parliament seat in 2014 Parliament Election:

Candidate

Party

Votes

% Votes

Chhedi Paswan

BJP

3,66,087

43.19

Meira Kumar

INC

3,02,760

35.72

Karra Parasu Ramaiah

JD(U)

93,310

11.01

Baleshwar Bharti

BSP

31,528

3.72

Geeta Arya

AAP

11,005

1.30

 

Past Results of Sasaram(SC) Parliament seat in 2009 Parliament Election:

Candidate

Party

Votes

%

Meira Kumar

INC

1,92,213

32.09

Muni Lal

BJP

1,49,259

24.92

Lalan Paswan

RJD

1,09,498

18.28

Gandhi Azad

BSP

96,613

16.13

Babban Chaudhary

LTSD

13,424

2.24

Congress polled 32% in 2009 Parliament and 36% in 2014 Parliament Election. It is the seat of Ms. Meira Kumar. In 2019 Parliament Election, when it will be a Two-Corner fight, Ms. Meira Kumar should poll around 45-50% to ensure her win.

Mr. Chhedi Paswan is the present MP from Sasaram. He was the MLA from JD(U) in 2010 Assembly Election from Mohania (SC). He joined BJP just before the 2014 Parliament Election.

Mr. Lalan Paswan contested as RJD candidate in 2009 Parliament Election and polled 18.28%. He contested 2010 Assembly Election as RJD candidate from Chenari(SC) assembly seat but he lost to Mr. Chhedi Paswan in 2010. When Mr. Cheddi Paswan became the MP from Sasaram(SC) then a by-election was held in 2014. Mr. NiranjanRam joined BJP and contested the by-election from BJP. He won the By-Election from BJP.

BSP has a support base at Sasaram Parliament seat. BSP always polled around 10% vote in this constituency in the past except 2014 Parliament Election.

JD(U) polled 11.01% in 2014 Parliament election when they contested without any major alliance. After 2015 Assembly Election, JD(U) left Mahagatbandhan and joined NDA. It is required to understand how JD(U) votes are moving in this new scenario. Will it moving towards NDA or is it moving towards UPA?

There was a by-election at Bhabua assembly segment (which falls under Sasaram(SC) Parliament seat). It is required to analyse how the JD(U) votes moved in this by-election.

Caste Equation of Sasaram(SC) Parliament Constituency:

Overall Caste Equation of Valmikinagar Parliament Seat  – Muslim- 9.8%, SC-20.86%,ST-2.73%, KUSHWAHA -13.8%

 Assembly Constituencies under Sasaram(SC) Parliament Constituency:

  1. Mohania (SC)
  2. Bhabua
  3. Chainpur
  4. Chenari (SC)
  5. Sasaram
  6. Kargahar

Present MLAs from Sasaram(SC) Parliament Seat :

From Mohania(SC), NIRANJANRAM of BJP is the present MLA.(Contact No- 9973702162)

From Bhabua, ANAND BHUSAN PANDEY of BJP was the present MLA in 2015. After his untimely death, RINKI RANI PANDEY (w/o ANAND BHUSAN PANDEY) became MLA in 2018 Assembly By-Election. (Contact No of Rinki Rani Pandey – 9431680916)

From Chainpur, BRIJKISHOR BIND of BJP is the present MLA. (Contact No- 9431680473). He is presently “Backward and EBC Welfare” minister under Bihar Government.

From Chenari(SC), LALAN PASWAN of RLSP is the present MLA. (Contact No- 9431800501, 9431483540)

From Sasaram, ASHOK KUMAR of RJD is the present MLA. (Contact No- 9431286901)

From Kargahar, BASHIST SINGH of JD(U) is the present MLA.(Contact No- 9431430231)

So BJP has 3 MLAs, RLSP has 1 MLA, JD(U) has 1 MLA and RJD  has 1 MLA at present under Sasaram(SC) parliament constituency.

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Bhabua Assembly Segment Analysis:

Bhabua Assembly Result

 

As mentioned above Mr. ANAND BHUSAN PANDEY of BJP won the election in 2015. After his untimely death, RINKI RANI PANDEY (w/o ANAND BHUSAN PANDEY) became MLA in 2018 Assembly By-Election.

BSP has good support base in this Constituency. BHARATBIND contested from BSP in 2015 Assembly election. He polled 20.4% vote in 2015. He can be a potential good candidate from Congress/RJD in the next assembly election. He should be inducted into party. Contact No of Mr. Bharat Bind- 9430433728.

Bhabua Assembly Segment 2018 By-Election Results:

Name of the Candidate

Party

Votes Polled

Vote %

RINKI RANI PANDEY

 

BJP

64378

48%

SHAMBHU SINGH PATEL

INC

49536

37%

 

Movement Of JD(U) votes at Bhabhua Assembly Segment:

25 Polling Booths where JD(U) Polled well at Bhabhua Assembly in 2014 Parliament Election

2018 By-Election

2015 Assembly

2014 Parliament

Rinki Rani Pandey

Shambhu Singh Patel

Total

Anand Bhushan Pandey

Dr.Pramod Kumar Singh

Bharat Bind

Total

Karra Parasu
Ramaiah

Chhedi Paswan

Baleshwar Bharti

Meira Kumar

Total

BJP

INC

 

BJP

JD(U)

BSP

 

JD(U)

BJP

BSP

INC

 

Pra0 Vidyalay, Budavaliya

180

177

444

116

228

27

442

204

152

5

51

431

Pra0 Vidyalay, Manihari (Da .Bhag )

337

163

608

301

41

239

667

224

374

21

25

659

Madhya Vidyalay, Shivapur (U.Bhag )

103

304

447

43

350

128

622

373

95

10

66

570

Madhya vidyalaya Vidyalay, Shivapur (Da .Bhag ) Booth No1

326

35

387

156

304

6

518

231

342

2

109

708

Madhya Vidyalay, Bharigonva (Pu0 Bhag)

257

338

702

143

271

124

663

314

208

15

48

594

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Itadhi (Uttari Bhag)

194

214

443

86

420

3

579

311

206

2

28

564

Pra0 Vidyalay, Dihara

247

293

690

107

491

178

866

301

245

40

141

762

Pra0 Vidyalay, Kamata

131

319

502

50

367

82

562

280

173

11

35

504

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Kori

273

289

646

141

208

246

674

257

201

19

122

608

Pra0 Vidyalay, Sikathi Pa0 Bhag

158

301

664

117

152

344

781

204

230

189

70

717

Madhya Vidyalay, Bhekas (Pu. Bhag )

289

364

828

262

101

293

805

217

343

15

112

711

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Dumaraith (Pa0 Bhag)

154

312

562

87

42

336

551

213

204

65

86

589

Utkramit uchch Vidyalay, Mahesua

253

451

772

123

541

161

927

576

211

22

140

973

Pra. Vidyalay, Akhalasapur Patiya Booth No1

341

114

515

196

104

206

622

207

313

42

113

738

Madhya Vidyalay, Akhalasapur (Pa0 Bhag)

276

239

555

96

542

10

695

363

220

2

69

667

Prathmik Vidyalay, Bhabhua Ward No. 14 Booth No1

243

142

411

171

155

93

475

220

295

37

285

895

Urdu Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Mokari (Pu0 Bhag)

488

285

850

332

265

165

889

232

347

11

205

831

Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Dumadum

489

291

879

262

429

152

929

277

346

44

167

862

Madhya Vidyalay, Sivo (Pu0 Bhag)

321

247

632

216

322

39

693

251

243

3

101

621

Kanya utkramit madhya vidyalaya

261

186

499

194

333

6

599

215

283

3

40

555

Madhy Vidyalay, Rudavar Ka La

339

322

830

153

134

399

853

377

252

20

175

856

Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Harala

378

222

666

409

130

189

809

240

367

16

71

709

Prathmik Vidyalay, Baghi

133

45

289

69

30

114

297

227

35

2

4

268

Utkramit madhy Vidyalay Levabondh

270

286

849

118

312

328

858

444

64

36

167

813

Panchayat Bhavan Bhitaribondh

174

336

951

93

300

447

927

319

106

25

218

749

Total Votes

6615

6275

15621

4041

6572

4315

17303

7077

5855

657

2648

16954

Vote %

42%

40%

 

23%

38%

25%

 

42%

35%

4%

16%

 

 

In these 25 Polling Booths, JD(U) polled 42% vote in 2014 Parliament Election. During 2014 Parliament election, Congress polled only 16% and BJP polled 35% in these 25 polling booths.

In the recent 2018 Assembly By-election, Congress polled 40% and BJP polled 42% from these 25 polling booths. So the vote share of Congress improved by 24% and the vote share of BJP is improved by 7%.

So around 77% of the JD(U) votes shifted towards Congress. It’s a very good sign.  Still Congress should concentrate in these 25 polling booths and ensure smooth transfer of JD(U) votes in favour of them in 2019 Parliament Election.

 

24 Polling Booths where BSP polled well at Bhabhua Assembly Segment:

24 Polling Booths where BSP Polled well at Bhabhua Assembly in 2015 Assembly Election

2018 By-Election

2015 Assembly

Rinki Rani Pandey

Shambhu Singh Patel

Total

Anand Bhushan Pandey

Dr.Pramod Kumar Singh

Bharat Bind

Total

BJP

INC

 

BJP

JD(U)

BSP

 

Pra0 Vidyalay, Katara

262

109

402

38

59

347

496

Pra0 Vidyalay, Narotapur

472

80

607

271

16

319

649

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Goraipur (Purvi Bhag)

506

31

609

108

14

456

616

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Goraipur (pashchmi bhag)

503

45

571

42

7

508

635

Utkramit madhya Vidyalay, Jigani (Pashchmi Bhag)

144

163

474

40

80

304

514

Madhya Vidyalay, Bahuan

660

169

866

251

154

417

900

Pra0 Vidyalay, Chondoruiya

48

40

576

57

22

371

547

Pra0 Vidyalay, Sikathi Pa0 Bhag

158

301

664

117

152

344

781

Pra0 Vidyalay, Karamichak

432

61

554

7

4

561

596

Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Ruiyo

505

242

817

323

236

312

972

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Dumaraith (Pa0 Bhag)

154

312

562

87

42

336

551

Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Jamuanv

177

309

680

98

82

388

755

Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Nauvanzoti

353

248

675

177

109

325

715

Prathmik Vidyalay, Sareva

235

262

560

69

102

418

664

Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Devarjikala

484

266

848

217

172

407

904

Prathmik Vidyalay, Bhabhua Ward No. 14 Booth No2

118

320

463

71

77

299

498

Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Kabar (Da .Bhag )

274

301

671

173

132

344

790

Urdu Utkramit madh Vidyalay, Mokari (Pa0 Bhag)

244

333

691

130

122

345

727

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Sarangapur

550

237

864

226

229

364

936

Matadan Ke. Bhavan Semara

336

189

579

116

85

439

702

Madhy Vidyalay, Rudavar Ka La

339

322

830

153

134

399

853

Prathmik Vidyalay, Tarov

132

228

468

33

135

317

542

Utkramit madhy Vidyalay Levabondh

270

286

849

118

312

328

858

Panchayat Bhavan Bhitaribondh

174

336

951

93

300

447

927

Total Votes

7530

5190

15831

3015

2777

9095

17128

Vote %

48%

33%

 

18%

16%

53%

 

 

In these 24 polling booths, JD(U) (Part of Mahagatbandhan) polled 16% and BJP polled 18% whereas BSP polled 53% in 2015 Assembly Election . In 2018 Assembly By-Election, INC polled 33% and BJP polled 48%.

So vote share of Congress was increased by 17% and vote share of BJP was increased by 30%.

Maximum BSP vote shifted towards BJP in the by-election. Congress should try to induct the BSP candidate Bharat Bind before 2019 Parliament Election.

Congress should try to tap these floating votes and concentrate hard in these 24 polling booths.

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Mohania (SC) Assembly Segment Analysis:

 

Mohania (SC) Assembly Result

 

Present MLA Mr.Niranjan Ram is from BJP. He contested 2010 Assembly Election from RJD. He lost to Mr. Chhedi Paswan in 2010. When Mr. Cheddi Paswan became the MP from Sasaram(SC) then a by-election was held in 2014. Mr. NiranjanRam joined BJP and contested the by-election from BJP. He won the By-Election from BJP.

BSP has a good support base in this Constituency. BSP always polled more than 5% in the last 4 election.

JD(U) polled 6.4% in 2014 Parliament Election.

The strategy of Congress in 2019 should be to consolidate the JD(U) and BSP votes at Mohania(SC).

12 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled well in 2014  at Mohania (SC)Assembly Segment:

 

12 Polling Booths where JD(U) is strong at Mohania (SC)

2015 Assembly

2014 Parliament

Niranjan Ram

Ram Raj Ram

Sanjay Kumar

Total

Karra Parasu
Ramaiah

Chhedi Paswan

Baleshwar Bharti

Meira Kumar

Total

BJP

BSP

INC

 

JD(U)

BJP

BSP

INC

 

Buniyadi Madhya Vidyalay Chaurasiya

98

65

330

523

256

106

7

123

512

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Sakarauli

206

19

371

639

191

150

9

216

590

Madhya Vidyalay Mujan (madhya . Bhag. )

145

15

219

598

134

124

5

159

567

Madhya Vidyalay Bharakhar (Utari bhag)

135

11

322

498

188

133

26

176

556

Madhya Vidyalay Bharakhar (Pashimi bhag)

149

21

209

398

130

108

9

90

350

Madhya Vidyalay Bharakhar (Dakshani bhag)

206

5

351

586

161

255

3

120

566

Utkramit Madhy Vidyalay Mamadev

435

10

413

1016

155

259

21

432

900

Utkramit Urdu Madhya Vidyalay Belaudi (Uttari Bhag)

199

3

241

449

139

388

10

264

849

Madhya Vidyalay Muthani

441

6

323

862

223

236

16

246

781

Prathamik Vidyalay Bajaraha

341

18

170

568

166

158

38

221

633

Madhya Vidyalay Bhadaula Purvi Bhag

159

3

221

459

152

154

3

84

470

Prathamik Vidyalay Vahera (Utary Bhag)

72

5

422

549

154

124

5

193

500

Total Votes

2586

181

3592

7145

2049

2195

152

2324

7274

Vote %

36%

3%

50%

 

28%

30%

2%

32%

 

In these 12 polling booths, JD(U) polled 28% in 2014 Parliament Election. Congress polled 32% from these 12 booths in 2014. In 2015 Assembly Election, vote share of Congress improved to 50%. Majority of JD(U) votes shifted in favour of Congress in 2015 Assembly Election. Still Congress should put special focus and ensure majority of JD(U) votes in 2019 Parliament Election.

16 Polling Booths where BSP polled well in 2014 and 2015  at Mohania (SC)Assembly Segment:

 

16 polling booths where BSP is strong at Mohania (SC) Assembly segment

2015 Assembly

2014 Parliament

Niranjan Ram

Ram Raj Ram

Sanjay Kumar

Total

Karra Parasu
Ramaiah

Chhedi Paswan

Baleshwar Bharti

Meira Kumar

 Total

BJP

BSP

INC

 

JD(U)

BJP

BSP

INC

 

Madhya Vidyalay Vamhaur (Da0 Bhag)

201

108

303

665

39

123

141

276

614

Madhya Vidyalay Bamhaur Khas (U0 Bhag )

181

137

134

482

8

92

173

212

513

Madhya Vidyalay Badhupar (Purvi Bhag)

123

369

45

562

44

122

302

101

577

Madhya Vidyalay Katara Naya Bhavan (Dakshani Bhag)

118

504

14

697

33

73

464

64

648

Utkramit madhya vidyalaya ahinaura pashchimi bhag

172

202

80

476

40

79

154

148

432

Sankul sashadhan kendra Bhavan Madhy Vidyalay Bharakhar

231

265

130

658

79

127

259

157

650

Utkramit Madhy Vidyalay Rasulapur Karamahari

318

539

128

1036

28

103

319

394

899

Prathamik Vidyalay Kurra

376

180

163

753

26

512

144

145

858

Utakramit Madhy Vidyalay Mubarakapur

323

151

170

677

23

354

109

207

719

Madhya Vidyalay Usari (Da0 Bhag)

263

171

153

678

20

279

132

190

643

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Amarapura

328

294

196

856

17

291

112

357

809

Utkrmit Urdu Madhy Vidyalay Belaudi (Dakshani bhag)

23

64

573

694

68

63

203

689

1060

Madhya Vidyalaya ozavaliya

148

193

47

400

21

95

159

110

398

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Turki (Kanya )

292

154

305

814

23

325

126

329

833

Prathamik Vidyalay Vahuara

220

198

162

604

26

171

115

321

654

Prathmik Vidyalay, Vahera (Dakshni Bhag)

298

111

188

618

26

63

122

384

615

Total Votes

3615

3640

2791

10670

521

2872

3034

4084

10922

Vote %

34%

34%

26%

 

5%

26%

28%

37%

 

 

In these 16 polling booths, BSP polled 28% in 2014 Parliament Election and 34% in 2015 Assembly Election. So BSP has a good organization in these polling booths. Congress should try to break the BSP organization here.

 

Chainpur Assembly Segment Analysis:

 

Chainpur Assembly Result

 

Performance of Congress in the last 3 Elections is not satisfactory. Congress was trailing by more than 30500 votes in 2014 Parliament Election. JD(U) polled 13% vote in 2014 Parliament Election.

BJP won the assembly election 2010 and 2015. Interestingly BSP came on 2nd position both the time. BSP has a very good organization in this constituency.

The vote % of SP in 2010 Assembly Election and 2015 Assembly Election was 5.22% and 7.2% respectively.

Congress should consolidate this floating votes of JD(U),BSP and SP in 2019 Parliament Election.

22 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled more than 150 votes in 2014 Parliament at Chainpur Assembly Segment:

22 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled more than 150 votes in 2014 Parliament Election at Chainpur Assembly Segment

2015 Assembly

2014 Parliament

Mahabali Singh

Mohammad Zama Khan

Brij Kishor Bind

Alok Kumar Singh

Total

Karra Parasu
Ramaiah

Chhedi Paswan

Baleshwar Bharti

Meira Kumar

Total

JD(U)

BSP

BJP

SP

 

JD(U)

BJP

BSP

INC

 

Utkramit Madhye. Vidyalay, Bagechhara

201

119

92

5

458

233

139

7

78

471

Prathmik Vidyalay, Bahdura

163

206

35

4

422

158

72

140

22

411

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay .Siravit (Purwi Bhag )

37

486

270

7

860

284

268

64

82

735

Madhya Vidyalay, Masoi, Purvi Bhag Booth No1

192

92

146

2

462

252

365

24

80

766

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Amaon (Purwi Bhag ) Booth No1

95

56

311

11

510

200

465

16

64

794

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Amaon (Pashchimi Bhag )

93

398

313

18

898

218

365

66

145

837

Utkramit madhya vidyalay Nandana

135

316

185

21

686

214

254

11

122

616

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Madurana (Uttari Bhag )

102

392

83

9

618

197

181

54

45

497

Prathamik Vidyalay, Jigina

132

285

137

6

599

179

234

2

92

519

Utramik Urdu Madhye Vidhalaye Naughara

54

948

46

3

1079

169

197

16

328

731

Utkramik Madhya.Vidyalay,Parwatapur

97

232

230

170

786

173

268

14

117

592

Madhya Vidyalay, Ramgadh (Paschmi Bhag)

131

225

281

132

869

250

288

60

228

851

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Padari

47

44

218

78

498

207

150

11

57

451

Prathmik Vidyalay, Umapur Booth No1

101

10

176

145

456

186

345

38

199

791

Utkramit Madhy Vidyalay, Kham Kala

113

18

252

95

546

209

55

18

60

359

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Jamuninar

65

132

271

121

670

252

147

54

65

529

Adiwasi Awasiya Unch Vidyalay, Badaganv Khurd

52

4

111

97

322

163

17

1

41

227

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Badap

41

25

190

150

495

197

56

6

15

283

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Dumaranva

299

10

61

39

566

201

54

4

197

470

Prathmik Vidyalay, Jhadpa

191

7

234

59

560

169

75

1

78

341

Madhya Vidyalay, Lohara

174

82

182

58

678

230

52

6

78

395

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Neurus

51

16

209

49

533

165

2

0

8

185

Total Votes

2566

4103

4033

1279

13571

4506

4049

613

2201

11851

Vote %

19%

30%

30%

9%

 

38%

34%

5%

19%

 

 

In these 22 polling booths, INC polled 19%, BJP polled 34% and JD(U) polled 38% in 2014 Parliament election. Congress should try to tap this JD(U) votes in 2019 Parliament Election.

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Chenari (SC) Assembly Segment Analysis :

 

Chenari (SC) Assembly Result

 

Mr. Lalan Paswan is the present MLA from RLSP. He contested the 2009 Parliament Election as RJD candidate. He contested as RJD candidate from Chenari(SC) in 2010 Assembly Election. He shifted to RLSP in 2015 Assembly Election. He won the 2015 Assembly Election defeating MangalRam of Congress.

In the last two elections, BSP polled 2.4% in 2014 Parliament Election and 3.61% in 2015 Assembly Election. So BSP lost its organization in this constituency.

JD(U) polled 8% in 2014 Parliament Constituency. Congress should try to tap this JD(U) votes in 2019 Parliament Election.

19 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled more than 100 in 2014 Parliament Election at Chenari(SC) Assembly Segment:

19 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled more than 100 votes in 2014 Parliament Election at Chenari(SC) Assembly Segment

2015 Assembly

2014 Parliament

Mangal Ram

Lalan Paswan

Total

Karra Parasu
Ramaiah

Chhedi Paswan

Baleshwar Bharti

Meira Kumar

Total

INC

RLSP

 

JD(U)

BJP

BSP

INC

 

Panchayat Bhavan, Telari

350

351

788

154

264

42

206

707

Prathamik Vidyalay, Chorahi

253

118

384

118

216

8

41

396

Madhya Vidyalay, Malhipur (dakshini Bhag)

341

300

748

109

257

53

335

801

Madhya Vidyalay, Nad

327

197

550

102

159

7

254

546

Madhya Vidyalay, Alamapur (Purwi Bhag)

320

376

746

175

210

7

240

689

Utkramit MadhyaVidyalay Khatoliya

436

112

581

115

99

6

270

516

Prathamik Vidyalay, Sikandarapur

229

191

475

161

36

7

222

453

Madhya Vidyalay, Mohammadapur

419

176

766

137

92

29

416

706

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Kaudiyari Utar bhag Booth No1

123

280

469

156

145

17

246

639

Kanya Madhya Vidyalay Patakhauliya

325

339

776

143

301

10

214

721

Prathamik Vidyalay Govindapur

280

298

782

106

396

7

151

696

Madhya Vidyalya Ydunathapur

159

192

467

125

170

6

80

420

Madhya Vidyalay, Madhukupiya

419

98

573

106

173

10

144

476

Madhya Vidyalay Tiara Kala

420

215

752

106

232

18

224

658

Uchcha Vidyalay Chutiya

171

255

466

130

241

7

60

464

Kanya Madhya Vidyaly Nauhata

236

96

637

181

123

27

114

493

Madhy Vidyalay Anandichak

129

257

528

110

260

7

57

446

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Jayntipur

317

207

756

101

138

12

335

642

Madhyavidyalay Daranagar (Pashchimi Bhag)

164

451

664

103

412

10

77

640

Total Votes

5418

4509

11908

2438

3924

290

3686

11109

Vote %

45%

38%

 

22%

35%

3%

33%

 

 

In these 19 polling booths, INC polled 33%. BJP polled 35% and JD(U) polled 22% in 2014 Parliament Election. In 2015 Assembly Election, When INC contested as part of Mahagatbandhan, INC polled 45%. INC should focus in these booths to tap the JD(U) votes in 2019 Parliament Election

 

 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Sasaram Assembly Segment Analysis:

 

Sasaram Assembly Result

 

The present MLA, MR. AshokKumar is from RJD.UPA is strong in this constituency. Congress was trailing by around 2000 votes in 2014 Parliament election. JD(U) polled around 9800 votes in 2014 Parliament Election. Congress should try to tap this JD(U) votes in the upcoming 2019 Parliament Election.

Mr. Krishnakumar Singh was elected to the Bihar Legislative Council in 2009 on a JD(U) ticket but left the party in 2010 and contested as independent candidate. He is an influential leader from Thakor Samaj. He polled 5.3% vote in 2015 Assembly Election. His contact Number is 9431605273.

 

19 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled more than 100 in 2014 at Sasaram Assembly Segment:

19 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled more than 100 in 2014 Parliament Election at Sasaram Assembly Segment

2015 Assembly

2014 Parliament

Ashok Kumar

Jawahar Prasad

Krishina Kumar Singh

Total

Karra Parasu
Ramaiah

Chhedi Paswan

Baleshwar Bharti

Meira Kumar

Total

RJD

BJP

IND 1

 

JD(U)

BJP

BSP

INC

 

Madhya Vidyalay, Samaradiho

299

308

7

699

193

276

5

104

590

Prathamik Vidyalay, Shumbha

35

98

88

244

137

29

3

81

275

Prathamik Vidyalay, Maudiha

370

34

16

446

265

32

3

87

404

Prathamik Vidyalayat, Gadura

191

408

62

677

171

414

6

43

645

Prathamik Vidyalay, Karmadihari

270

159

32

506

217

150

4

37

431

Prathamik Vidyalay, Nekara

454

171

5

692

108

160

3

294

593

Kanya Prathamik Vidyalay Takiya,sasaram (Pashchimi Bhag)

215

133

2

385

106

120

6

107

382

rajkiykrit Kisan Madhya Vidyalay, Kuraich sasaram (Dakshini Bhag)

172

308

13

504

108

224

1

98

440

Samudayik Bhavan, Saina

240

55

40

372

101

108

4

86

317

Samudayik Bhavan, Shivapur

287

26

4

331

156

26

2

99

311

Prathamik Vidyalay, Bharakhoha

324

16

3

344

177

8

0

129

317

Samudayik Bhavan,Koidih

225

34

64

369

177

51

1

68

305

madhy vidhayal kushdhihraa

446

235

18

783

137

272

15

148

600

Rajakiy Nalakup Bhavan Behara

220

45

16

470

152

65

8

141

397

Prathamik Vidyalay Rediya

296

123

94

551

225

154

3

61

458

Madhya Vidyalay, ropahtha

333

146

29

579

149

191

6

65

446

Madhya Vidyalay Ramadihara

346

286

117

784

162

352

13

103

662

madhya vidyalaya supasrai (Purabi bhag)

614

33

10

694

250

26

8

257

587

madhya vidyalaya supasrai (paschim bhag)

289

194

8

540

130

165

4

97

414

Total Votes

5626

2812

628

9970

3121

2823

95

2105

8574

Vote %

56%

28%

6%

 

36%

33%

1%

25%

 

 

In these 19 polling booths, INC polled 25%. BJP polled 33% and JD(U) polled 36% in 2014 Parliament Election. In 2015 Assembly Election, When RJD contested as part of Mahagatbandhan, RJD polled 56%. JD(U) vote got transferred to RJD in 2015 Assembly Election. INC should focus in these booths to tap the JD(U) votes in 2019 Parliament Election.

 

14 Polling Booths where Mr. Krishna Kumar Singh (Independent candidate) is strong at Sasaram Assembly Segment:

14 Polling Booths where Mr.Krishna Kumar Singh independent candidate is strong at Sasaram Assembly Segment

2015 Assembly

2014 Parliament

Ashok Kumar

Jawahar Prasad

Krishina Kumar Singh

Total

Karra Parasu
Ramaiah

Chhedi Paswan

Baleshwar Bharti

Meira Kumar

Total

RJD

BJP

IND 1

 

JD(U)

BJP

BSP

INC

 

Madhya Vidyalay, Dumariya

77

201

205

545

29

288

10

92

431

madhay Vidyalay Baradhi

59

246

156

500

52

342

2

42

448

Prathamik Vidyalay Shahapur

17

161

179

417

19

375

3

51

458

Madhya Vidyalay, Khudhanu

137

288

103

594

25

367

13

154

588

Nishan Sinh kendriy jila pusatakaly, sasaram rohtas ka ka nav nirmit bhavan ka (purwi bhag

161

263

100

532

25

275

1

138

453

Prathamik Vidyalay, Kota

388

172

109

793

52

253

8

322

669

madhya vidyalya shikriya (purwi bhag)

167

139

204

716

37

320

14

305

700

Madhya Vidyalay, Sikariyo(madhya Bhag)

97

136

168

450

16

273

10

100

425

Prathamik Vidyalay,Malonv

516

105

205

932

39

225

16

375

712

Madhya Vidyalay, Darigonv(Dakshini Bhag)

135

308

153

756

36

276

6

297

638

Madhya Vidyalay, Mirjapur (Dakshini Bhag )

164

61

171

430

11

214

4

99

346

Madhya Vidyalay, Huraka(Utari Bhag)

59

194

176

441

15

340

4

12

380

Madhya Vidyalay Ramadihara

346

286

117

784

162

352

13

103

662

Madhya Vidyalay, Bhisada

156

291

121

594

3

440

7

80

540

Total Votes

2479

2851

2167

8484

521

4340

111

2170

7450

Vote %

29%

34%

26%

 

7%

58%

1%

29%

 

 

In these 14 polling booths, INC polled 29%. BJP polled 58% and JD(U) polled 7% in 2014 Parliament Election. In 2015 Assembly Election, When Mr. Krishna Kumar Singh contested as independent candidate in 2015, RJD(Part of Mahagatbandhan) polled 29%. But the BJP vote share dropped to 34%.

In 2014 Parliament Election, Congress was trailing by 2170 Votes from these 14 polling booths. RJD was just trailing by 372 votes when Mr. Krishna Kumar Singh contested as independent candidate in 2015. Congress should try to induct him in Party. It will influence the Rajput votes in this area.

 .

Related Links: http://www.catchnews.com/politics-news/sasaram-wants-to-vote-for-work-but-caste-stands-in-the-way-1444923761.html

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Kargahar Assembly Segment Analysis :

 

Kargahar Assembly Result

The present MLA of Kargahar Mr. Bashist Singh is from JD(U). It is a multi corner constituency.  Congress was trailing by around 1200 votes in 2014 Parliament Election from this Assembly Segment.  JD(U) polled 26692 votes in 2014 Parliament Election.

Congress should focus the JD(U) votes in 2019 Parliament Election.

Mr. Alok Kumar Singh contested as Congress candidate in 2010 assembly election. He polled 14.2% vote. The seat was allotted to JD(U) as a part of Mahagatbandhan. Mr. Alok Kumar Contested 2015 Assembly Election as independent candidate. He polled 15.5% vote in 2015 as independent candidate. He should be inducted in Congress party. Contact Number of Mr. Alok Kumar Singh is 9204757600.

Mr. Ram Dhani Singh was MLA from JD(U) in 2010 Assembly Election. He was a miniter in the Bihar cabinet. He has been denied ticket by Mr. Nitish Kumar in 2015 Assembly Election. He contested as SP candidate in 2015 Assembly Election. He polled 6121 votes.  He will be against Nitish Kumar and he should help Congress in the upcoming election. Contact Number of Mr. Ram Dhani Singh is 9431605354 .Refer the article : https://indianexpress.com/article/india/politics/bihar-minister-ramdhani-singh-resigns-over-denial-of-ticket/

Mr. Birendra Kumar Singh came 2nd in the 2015 Assembly election from RLSP. The present MLA is from JD(U). So if he is looking for his political future, he should move to UPA. He should be contacted. Contact No of Mr. Birendra Kumar Singh is 9431837187.

43 Polling Booths where JD(U) is strong at Kargahar Assembly Segment:

43 Polling Booths where JD(U) is strong at Kargahar Assembly Seat

2015 Assembly

2014 Parliament

Bashisth Singh

Birendra Kumar Singh

M.D Shamim Shah

Alok Kumar Singh

Total

Karra Parasu
Ramaiah

Chhedi Paswan

Baleshwar Bharti

Meira Kumar

Total

JD(U)

RLSP

BSP

IND 1

 

JD(U)

BJP

BSP

INC

 

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Sarosher

389

117

38

28

630

348

150

5

49

563

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Sorathi

374

59

1

3

488

352

99

3

3

464

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Rupi

339

54

23

122

635

274

164

7

26

481

Prathamik Vidyalay, Maudihara

266

37

73

89

570

217

88

18

90

423

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Bhadasara

261

144

113

16

599

220

49

16

194

502

Madhya Vidyalay, karmaini ,Purahara

178

118

116

44

534

250

151

11

103

522

Madhya Vidyalay, Rediya

483

50

91

4

699

335

53

29

76

503

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Kurusa

149

10

32

29

476

278

48

1

29

364

Prathamik Vidyalay, Amausi Dihara

218

84

0

27

436

228

33

2

119

389

Prathamik Vidyalay, Chitaini

563

59

178

45

930

213

75

24

339

698

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Katharai

318

213

100

142

912

264

327

16

150

804

MADHYA VIDYALAY KAPASIYA (UTTARI BHAG)

411

111

1

93

667

284

177

1

73

542

utkramit madhya vidhalay baradih

426

152

143

62

864

215

181

8

226

653

Prathamik Vidyalay, Ekavaniya

485

80

71

116

811

228

109

10

106

481

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Agarasi Dihara

334

242

122

24

826

217

217

8

136

607

utkramit madhy vidhalay rehari

435

115

17

9

606

301

97

1

102

505

Prathamik Vidyalay, Khairahi

189

13

127

60

474

266

38

61

26

395

Prathamik Vidyalay, Adai

313

11

1

35

403

269

34

2

13

324

Prathamik Vidyalay, Barahari

350

279

81

110

935

227

192

3

192

622

Prathamik Vidyalay, Chandrabhanapatti(Purwi Bhag)

615

13

0

0

651

432

26

1

12

483

Madhya Vidyalay, Akodhi(Bayo Bhag)

427

7

0

11

518

400

43

0

5

453

Madhya Vidyalay, Akodhi(Dayo Bhag)

493

5

172

4

721

448

67

9

134

679

utkramit madhya Vidyalay, Tendua Booth No1

574

169

56

90

963

274

78

14

232

622

Madhya Vidyalay, Dev Khaira

218

57

196

13

707

206

229

8

203

661

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Shahamal Khaira

373

51

203

12

754

283

107

9

220

625

Samudayik Bhavan, Shivan

365

31

3

91

569

209

63

2

90

382

Prathamik Vidyalay, Jhalkhor ( Purvi Bhag )

499

46

66

111

806

276

146

7

318

767

Prathamik Vidyalay, Thorasan

434

13

194

3

769

212

72

6

219

532

Madhya Vidyalay, Rivan

472

91

28

144

874

302

236

11

112

680

Uchcha Vidyalay, Bilari

480

207

5

18

811

312

214

3

99

650

Prathamik Vidyalay, Fakili

287

101

14

34

577

268

72

4

92

488

Prathamik Vidyalay, Basadiha

352

198

130

7

720

286

192

9

109

613

Prathamik Vidyalay, Ghoradiha

516

151

72

13

829

497

145

2

76

729

Prathamik Vidyalay, Pipari Booth No1

282

36

49

1

387

215

70

1

96

384

Prathamik Vidyalay Kushahi

268

67

64

25

514

286

107

4

73

481

Prathamik Vidyalay, Soni

218

93

22

2

412

201

74

2

89

369

Prathamik Vidyalay, Sahuar

360

131

234

108

943

219

193

8

327

772

Madhya Vidyalay, Jalalpur

509

49

134

12

797

465

132

5

83

695

Prathamik Vidyalay, Belasapur Booth No1

487

41

31

28

597

276

203

7

246

775

Madhya Vidyalay, Ramapur Naresh Booth No1

364

98

29

22

593

229

164

9

317

753

Prathamik Vidyalay, Dumara

331

214

102

137

936

222

272

8

217

744

Prathamik Vidyalay, Bhagavaliya

222

100

19

66

549

227

136

5

88

476

Madhya Vidyalay, Patadhi

461

208

108

59

935

256

156

19

264

729

Total Votes

16088

4125

3259

2069

29427

11987

5479

379

5773

24384

Vote %

55%

14%

11%

7%

 

49%

22%

2%

24%

 

 

 

In these 43 polling booths, JD(U) polled 49% in 2014 Parliament Election and 55% in 2015 Assembly Election. Congress polled 24% in 2014 from these 43 booths. Congress should focus in these booths to tap the JD(U) votes.

25 Polling Booths where Mr. Alok Kumar Singh(Independent candidate) is strong at Kargahar Assembly Segment:

25 Polling Booths where Mr. Alok Kumar Singh is strong at Kargahar Assembly Seat

2015 Assembly

2014 Parliament

Bashisth Singh

Birendra Kumar Singh

M.D Shamim Shah

Alok Kumar Singh

Total

Karra Parasu
Ramaiah

Chhedi Paswan

Baleshwar Bharti

Meira Kumar

Total

JD(U)

RLSP

BSP

IND 1

 

JD(U)

BJP

BSP

INC

 

Prathamik Vidyalay, Latara

44

115

99

236

549

40

129

5

280

473

Madhya Vidyalay, Doiya

9

62

40

291

510

79

229

12

102

438

Prathamik Vidyalay, Jalavaiya

49

125

67

246

554

47

167

6

83

315

utkramit madhy vidhayalay khakhda

258

223

42

250

859

119

198

5

146

477

Madhya Vidyalay, Senduar

71

172

159

357

830

90

316

6

191

636

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Vasantapur

142

123

66

261

669

22

199

1

296

543

Uchcha Vidyalay, Dibhiya

143

281

90

220

791

33

296

9

273

639

Prathamik Vidyalay, Pran Dihara

10

57

91

215

404

24

155

9

156

356

Prathamik Vidyalay, Kanak Semariya

66

152

161

260

717

50

285

13

225

596

Prathamik Vidyalay, Shahar Medni

53

198

86

225

675

31

292

6

217

571

Prathamik Vidyalay, Siri

61

86

191

340

765

71

271

7

196

570

Prathamik Vidyalay, Mati

92

144

128

281

759

62

306

11

225

622

Prathamik Vidyalay, Baheri

32

212

94

242

722

11

284

14

171

501

utkramit madhya Vidyalay, Kudiyari

53

162

171

269

732

25

231

6

300

574

Prathamik Vidyalay, Kauakhonch

70

120

101

211

598

62

296

5

146

527

utkrmit madhya vidhalay, hamirpur

20

71

1

254

385

17

326

2

35

385

Prathamik Vidyalay,Kumhila

111

45

86

311

603

22

230

8

164

438

Uchcha Vidyalay, Karagahar( Dayan Bhag)

149

132

31

209

569

12

267

6

202

505

Utkramit madhaya vidalaya mohaniya

14

153

1

330

568

8

464

3

58

544

Madhya Vidyalay, Karup(Purwi Bhag)

4

117

41

239

449

11

187

18

174

412

Madhya Vidyalay, Silari

74

50

195

295

725

58

279

5

223

602

Prathamik Vidyalay, Auraiya

78

135

4

231

517

75

334

6

68

499

Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Biyar Bandh

9

108

128

204

479

4

205

5

154

376

Utkramit Knaya Madhya Vidyalay, Chamaraha

68

201

67

250

717

19

198

2

290

527

Krirshi Farm Samahuta

116

100

1

215

517

20

209

5

124

382

Total Votes

1796

3344

2141

6442

15663

1012

6353

175

4499

12508

Vote %

11%

21%

14%

41%

 

8%

51%

1%

36%

 

 

In these 25 polling booths, Mr. Alok Kumar Singh polled 41% in 2015 Assembly Election.If Congress can tap him, Congress will improve its performance significantly in these 25 Polling Booths.

Please Note : Congress was trailing by 1854 votes in 2014 Parliament Election.

Articles Regarding Sasaram(SC) Parliament Constituency :

  1. https://www.firstpost.com/politics/meira-kumar-out-to-shed-neglecting-constituency-tag-in-sasaram-1468931.html

This article is written by Mr. Partha Pratim Das, Founder at Chanakyya,Contact No-8197544062

Source of the data is www.chanakyya.com