Sasaram(SC) Parliament Constituency Analysis

Sasaram(SC) Parliament Constituency Analysis:

Past Results of Sasaram(SC) Parliament seat in 2014 Parliament Election:

Candidate	Party	Votes	% Votes
Chhedi Paswan	BJP	3,66,087	43.19
Meira Kumar	INC	3,02,760	35.72
Karra Parasu Ramaiah	JD(U)	93,310	11.01
Baleshwar Bharti	BSP	31,528	3.72
Geeta Arya	AAP	11,005	1.30

Past Results of Sasaram(SC) Parliament seat in 2009 Parliament Election:

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Meira Kumar	INC	1,92,213	32.09
Muni Lal	BJP	1,49,259	24.92
Lalan Paswan	RJD	1,09,498	18.28
Gandhi Azad	BSP	96,613	16.13
Babban Chaudhary	LTSD	13,424	2.24

Congress polled 32% in 2009 Parliament and 36% in 2014 Parliament Election. It is the seat of Ms. Meira Kumar. In 2019 Parliament Election, when it will be a Two-Corner fight, Ms. Meira Kumar should poll around 45-50% to ensure her win.

Mr. Chhedi Paswan is the present MP from Sasaram. He was the MLA from JD(U) in 2010 Assembly Election from Mohania (SC). He joined BJP just before the 2014 Parliament Election.

Mr. Lalan Paswan contested as RJD candidate in 2009 Parliament Election and polled 18.28%. He contested 2010 Assembly Election as RJD candidate from Chenari(SC) assembly seat but he lost to Mr. Chhedi Paswan in 2010. When Mr. Cheddi Paswan became the MP from Sasaram(SC) then a by-election was held in 2014. Mr. NiranjanRam joined BJP and contested the by-election from BJP. He won the By-Election from BJP.

BSP has a support base at Sasaram Parliament seat. BSP always polled around 10% vote in this constituency in the past except 2014 Parliament Election.

JD(U) polled 11.01% in 2014 Parliament election when they contested without any major alliance. After 2015 Assembly Election, JD(U) left Mahagatbandhan and joined NDA. It is required to understand how JD(U) votes are moving in this new scenario. Will it moving towards NDA or is it moving towards UPA?

There was a by-election at Bhabua assembly segment (which falls under Sasaram(SC) Parliament seat). It is required to analyse how the JD(U) votes moved in this by-election.

Caste Equation of Sasaram(SC) Parliament Constituency:

Overall Caste Equation of Valmikinagar Parliament Seat – Muslim- 9.8%, SC-20.86%,ST-2.73%, KUSHWAHA -13.8%

Assembly Constituencies under Sasaram(SC) Parliament Constituency:

Mohania (SC)
Bhabua
Chainpur
Chenari (SC)
Sasaram
Kargahar

Present MLAs from Sasaram(SC) Parliament Seat :

From Mohania(SC), NIRANJANRAM of BJP is the present MLA.(Contact No- 9973702162)

From Bhabua, ANAND BHUSAN PANDEY of BJP was the present MLA in 2015. After his untimely death, RINKI RANI PANDEY (w/o ANAND BHUSAN PANDEY) became MLA in 2018 Assembly By-Election. (Contact No of Rinki Rani Pandey – 9431680916)

From Chainpur, BRIJKISHOR BIND of BJP is the present MLA. (Contact No- 9431680473). He is presently “Backward and EBC Welfare” minister under Bihar Government.

From Chenari(SC), LALAN PASWAN of RLSP is the present MLA. (Contact No- 9431800501, 9431483540)

From Sasaram, ASHOK KUMAR of RJD is the present MLA. (Contact No- 9431286901)

From Kargahar, BASHIST SINGH of JD(U) is the present MLA.(Contact No- 9431430231)

So BJP has 3 MLAs, RLSP has 1 MLA, JD(U) has 1 MLA and RJD has 1 MLA at present under Sasaram(SC) parliament constituency.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Bhabua Assembly Segment Analysis:

As mentioned above Mr. ANAND BHUSAN PANDEY of BJP won the election in 2015. After his untimely death, RINKI RANI PANDEY (w/o ANAND BHUSAN PANDEY) became MLA in 2018 Assembly By-Election.

BSP has good support base in this Constituency. BHARATBIND contested from BSP in 2015 Assembly election. He polled 20.4% vote in 2015. He can be a potential good candidate from Congress/RJD in the next assembly election. He should be inducted into party. Contact No of Mr. Bharat Bind- 9430433728.

Bhabua Assembly Segment 2018 By-Election Results:

Name of the Candidate

Party

Votes Polled

Vote %

RINKI RANI PANDEY

BJP

64378

48%

SHAMBHU SINGH PATEL

INC

49536

37%

Movement Of JD(U) votes at Bhabhua Assembly Segment:

25 Polling Booths where JD(U) Polled well at Bhabhua Assembly in 2014 Parliament Election	2018 By-Election			2015 Assembly				2014 Parliament
	Rinki Rani Pandey	Shambhu Singh Patel	Total	Anand Bhushan Pandey	Dr.Pramod Kumar Singh	Bharat Bind	Total	Karra Parasu Ramaiah	Chhedi Paswan	Baleshwar Bharti	Meira Kumar	Total
	BJP	INC		BJP	JD(U)	BSP		JD(U)	BJP	BSP	INC
Pra0 Vidyalay, Budavaliya	180	177	444	116	228	27	442	204	152	5	51	431
Pra0 Vidyalay, Manihari (Da .Bhag )	337	163	608	301	41	239	667	224	374	21	25	659
Madhya Vidyalay, Shivapur (U.Bhag )	103	304	447	43	350	128	622	373	95	10	66	570
Madhya vidyalaya Vidyalay, Shivapur (Da .Bhag ) Booth No1	326	35	387	156	304	6	518	231	342	2	109	708
Madhya Vidyalay, Bharigonva (Pu0 Bhag)	257	338	702	143	271	124	663	314	208	15	48	594
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Itadhi (Uttari Bhag)	194	214	443	86	420	3	579	311	206	2	28	564
Pra0 Vidyalay, Dihara	247	293	690	107	491	178	866	301	245	40	141	762
Pra0 Vidyalay, Kamata	131	319	502	50	367	82	562	280	173	11	35	504
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Kori	273	289	646	141	208	246	674	257	201	19	122	608
Pra0 Vidyalay, Sikathi Pa0 Bhag	158	301	664	117	152	344	781	204	230	189	70	717
Madhya Vidyalay, Bhekas (Pu. Bhag )	289	364	828	262	101	293	805	217	343	15	112	711
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Dumaraith (Pa0 Bhag)	154	312	562	87	42	336	551	213	204	65	86	589
Utkramit uchch Vidyalay, Mahesua	253	451	772	123	541	161	927	576	211	22	140	973
Pra. Vidyalay, Akhalasapur Patiya Booth No1	341	114	515	196	104	206	622	207	313	42	113	738
Madhya Vidyalay, Akhalasapur (Pa0 Bhag)	276	239	555	96	542	10	695	363	220	2	69	667
Prathmik Vidyalay, Bhabhua Ward No. 14 Booth No1	243	142	411	171	155	93	475	220	295	37	285	895
Urdu Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Mokari (Pu0 Bhag)	488	285	850	332	265	165	889	232	347	11	205	831
Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Dumadum	489	291	879	262	429	152	929	277	346	44	167	862
Madhya Vidyalay, Sivo (Pu0 Bhag)	321	247	632	216	322	39	693	251	243	3	101	621
Kanya utkramit madhya vidyalaya	261	186	499	194	333	6	599	215	283	3	40	555
Madhy Vidyalay, Rudavar Ka La	339	322	830	153	134	399	853	377	252	20	175	856
Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Harala	378	222	666	409	130	189	809	240	367	16	71	709
Prathmik Vidyalay, Baghi	133	45	289	69	30	114	297	227	35	2	4	268
Utkramit madhy Vidyalay Levabondh	270	286	849	118	312	328	858	444	64	36	167	813
Panchayat Bhavan Bhitaribondh	174	336	951	93	300	447	927	319	106	25	218	749
Total Votes	6615	6275	15621	4041	6572	4315	17303	7077	5855	657	2648	16954
Vote %	42%	40%		23%	38%	25%		42%	35%	4%	16%

In these 25 Polling Booths, JD(U) polled 42% vote in 2014 Parliament Election. During 2014 Parliament election, Congress polled only 16% and BJP polled 35% in these 25 polling booths.

In the recent 2018 Assembly By-election, Congress polled 40% and BJP polled 42% from these 25 polling booths. So the vote share of Congress improved by 24% and the vote share of BJP is improved by 7%.

So around 77% of the JD(U) votes shifted towards Congress. It’s a very good sign. Still Congress should concentrate in these 25 polling booths and ensure smooth transfer of JD(U) votes in favour of them in 2019 Parliament Election.

24 Polling Booths where BSP polled well at Bhabhua Assembly Segment:

24 Polling Booths where BSP Polled well at Bhabhua Assembly in 2015 Assembly Election	2018 By-Election			2015 Assembly
	Rinki Rani Pandey	Shambhu Singh Patel	Total	Anand Bhushan Pandey	Dr.Pramod Kumar Singh	Bharat Bind	Total
	BJP	INC		BJP	JD(U)	BSP
Pra0 Vidyalay, Katara	262	109	402	38	59	347	496
Pra0 Vidyalay, Narotapur	472	80	607	271	16	319	649
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Goraipur (Purvi Bhag)	506	31	609	108	14	456	616
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Goraipur (pashchmi bhag)	503	45	571	42	7	508	635
Utkramit madhya Vidyalay, Jigani (Pashchmi Bhag)	144	163	474	40	80	304	514
Madhya Vidyalay, Bahuan	660	169	866	251	154	417	900
Pra0 Vidyalay, Chondoruiya	48	40	576	57	22	371	547
Pra0 Vidyalay, Sikathi Pa0 Bhag	158	301	664	117	152	344	781
Pra0 Vidyalay, Karamichak	432	61	554	7	4	561	596
Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Ruiyo	505	242	817	323	236	312	972
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Dumaraith (Pa0 Bhag)	154	312	562	87	42	336	551
Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Jamuanv	177	309	680	98	82	388	755
Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Nauvanzoti	353	248	675	177	109	325	715
Prathmik Vidyalay, Sareva	235	262	560	69	102	418	664
Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Devarjikala	484	266	848	217	172	407	904
Prathmik Vidyalay, Bhabhua Ward No. 14 Booth No2	118	320	463	71	77	299	498
Utkramit madhy Vidyalay, Kabar (Da .Bhag )	274	301	671	173	132	344	790
Urdu Utkramit madh Vidyalay, Mokari (Pa0 Bhag)	244	333	691	130	122	345	727
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Sarangapur	550	237	864	226	229	364	936
Matadan Ke. Bhavan Semara	336	189	579	116	85	439	702
Madhy Vidyalay, Rudavar Ka La	339	322	830	153	134	399	853
Prathmik Vidyalay, Tarov	132	228	468	33	135	317	542
Utkramit madhy Vidyalay Levabondh	270	286	849	118	312	328	858
Panchayat Bhavan Bhitaribondh	174	336	951	93	300	447	927
Total Votes	7530	5190	15831	3015	2777	9095	17128
Vote %	48%	33%		18%	16%	53%

In these 24 polling booths, JD(U) (Part of Mahagatbandhan) polled 16% and BJP polled 18% whereas BSP polled 53% in 2015 Assembly Election . In 2018 Assembly By-Election, INC polled 33% and BJP polled 48%.

So vote share of Congress was increased by 17% and vote share of BJP was increased by 30%.

Maximum BSP vote shifted towards BJP in the by-election. Congress should try to induct the BSP candidate Bharat Bind before 2019 Parliament Election.

Congress should try to tap these floating votes and concentrate hard in these 24 polling booths.

Mohania (SC) Assembly Segment Analysis:

Present MLA Mr.Niranjan Ram is from BJP. He contested 2010 Assembly Election from RJD. He lost to Mr. Chhedi Paswan in 2010. When Mr. Cheddi Paswan became the MP from Sasaram(SC) then a by-election was held in 2014. Mr. NiranjanRam joined BJP and contested the by-election from BJP. He won the By-Election from BJP.

BSP has a good support base in this Constituency. BSP always polled more than 5% in the last 4 election.

JD(U) polled 6.4% in 2014 Parliament Election.

The strategy of Congress in 2019 should be to consolidate the JD(U) and BSP votes at Mohania(SC).

12 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled well in 2014 at Mohania (SC)Assembly Segment:

12 Polling Booths where JD(U) is strong at Mohania (SC)	2015 Assembly				2014 Parliament
	Niranjan Ram	Ram Raj Ram	Sanjay Kumar	Total	Karra Parasu Ramaiah	Chhedi Paswan	Baleshwar Bharti	Meira Kumar	Total
	BJP	BSP	INC		JD(U)	BJP	BSP	INC
Buniyadi Madhya Vidyalay Chaurasiya	98	65	330	523	256	106	7	123	512
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Sakarauli	206	19	371	639	191	150	9	216	590
Madhya Vidyalay Mujan (madhya . Bhag. )	145	15	219	598	134	124	5	159	567
Madhya Vidyalay Bharakhar (Utari bhag)	135	11	322	498	188	133	26	176	556
Madhya Vidyalay Bharakhar (Pashimi bhag)	149	21	209	398	130	108	9	90	350
Madhya Vidyalay Bharakhar (Dakshani bhag)	206	5	351	586	161	255	3	120	566
Utkramit Madhy Vidyalay Mamadev	435	10	413	1016	155	259	21	432	900
Utkramit Urdu Madhya Vidyalay Belaudi (Uttari Bhag)	199	3	241	449	139	388	10	264	849
Madhya Vidyalay Muthani	441	6	323	862	223	236	16	246	781
Prathamik Vidyalay Bajaraha	341	18	170	568	166	158	38	221	633
Madhya Vidyalay Bhadaula Purvi Bhag	159	3	221	459	152	154	3	84	470
Prathamik Vidyalay Vahera (Utary Bhag)	72	5	422	549	154	124	5	193	500
Total Votes	2586	181	3592	7145	2049	2195	152	2324	7274
Vote %	36%	3%	50%		28%	30%	2%	32%

In these 12 polling booths, JD(U) polled 28% in 2014 Parliament Election. Congress polled 32% from these 12 booths in 2014. In 2015 Assembly Election, vote share of Congress improved to 50%. Majority of JD(U) votes shifted in favour of Congress in 2015 Assembly Election. Still Congress should put special focus and ensure majority of JD(U) votes in 2019 Parliament Election.

16 Polling Booths where BSP polled well in 2014 and 2015 at Mohania (SC)Assembly Segment:

16 polling booths where BSP is strong at Mohania (SC) Assembly segment	2015 Assembly				2014 Parliament
	Niranjan Ram	Ram Raj Ram	Sanjay Kumar	Total	Karra Parasu Ramaiah	Chhedi Paswan	Baleshwar Bharti	Meira Kumar	Total
	BJP	BSP	INC		JD(U)	BJP	BSP	INC
Madhya Vidyalay Vamhaur (Da0 Bhag)	201	108	303	665	39	123	141	276	614
Madhya Vidyalay Bamhaur Khas (U0 Bhag )	181	137	134	482	8	92	173	212	513
Madhya Vidyalay Badhupar (Purvi Bhag)	123	369	45	562	44	122	302	101	577
Madhya Vidyalay Katara Naya Bhavan (Dakshani Bhag)	118	504	14	697	33	73	464	64	648
Utkramit madhya vidyalaya ahinaura pashchimi bhag	172	202	80	476	40	79	154	148	432
Sankul sashadhan kendra Bhavan Madhy Vidyalay Bharakhar	231	265	130	658	79	127	259	157	650
Utkramit Madhy Vidyalay Rasulapur Karamahari	318	539	128	1036	28	103	319	394	899
Prathamik Vidyalay Kurra	376	180	163	753	26	512	144	145	858
Utakramit Madhy Vidyalay Mubarakapur	323	151	170	677	23	354	109	207	719
Madhya Vidyalay Usari (Da0 Bhag)	263	171	153	678	20	279	132	190	643
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Amarapura	328	294	196	856	17	291	112	357	809
Utkrmit Urdu Madhy Vidyalay Belaudi (Dakshani bhag)	23	64	573	694	68	63	203	689	1060
Madhya Vidyalaya ozavaliya	148	193	47	400	21	95	159	110	398
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Turki (Kanya )	292	154	305	814	23	325	126	329	833
Prathamik Vidyalay Vahuara	220	198	162	604	26	171	115	321	654
Prathmik Vidyalay, Vahera (Dakshni Bhag)	298	111	188	618	26	63	122	384	615
Total Votes	3615	3640	2791	10670	521	2872	3034	4084	10922
Vote %	34%	34%	26%		5%	26%	28%	37%

In these 16 polling booths, BSP polled 28% in 2014 Parliament Election and 34% in 2015 Assembly Election. So BSP has a good organization in these polling booths. Congress should try to break the BSP organization here.

Chainpur Assembly Segment Analysis:

Performance of Congress in the last 3 Elections is not satisfactory. Congress was trailing by more than 30500 votes in 2014 Parliament Election. JD(U) polled 13% vote in 2014 Parliament Election.

BJP won the assembly election 2010 and 2015. Interestingly BSP came on 2^nd position both the time. BSP has a very good organization in this constituency.

The vote % of SP in 2010 Assembly Election and 2015 Assembly Election was 5.22% and 7.2% respectively.

Congress should consolidate this floating votes of JD(U),BSP and SP in 2019 Parliament Election.

22 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled more than 150 votes in 2014 Parliament at Chainpur Assembly Segment:

22 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled more than 150 votes in 2014 Parliament Election at Chainpur Assembly Segment	2015 Assembly					2014 Parliament
	Mahabali Singh	Mohammad Zama Khan	Brij Kishor Bind	Alok Kumar Singh	Total	Karra Parasu Ramaiah	Chhedi Paswan	Baleshwar Bharti	Meira Kumar	Total
	JD(U)	BSP	BJP	SP		JD(U)	BJP	BSP	INC
Utkramit Madhye. Vidyalay, Bagechhara	201	119	92	5	458	233	139	7	78	471
Prathmik Vidyalay, Bahdura	163	206	35	4	422	158	72	140	22	411
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay .Siravit (Purwi Bhag )	37	486	270	7	860	284	268	64	82	735
Madhya Vidyalay, Masoi, Purvi Bhag Booth No1	192	92	146	2	462	252	365	24	80	766
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Amaon (Purwi Bhag ) Booth No1	95	56	311	11	510	200	465	16	64	794
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Amaon (Pashchimi Bhag )	93	398	313	18	898	218	365	66	145	837
Utkramit madhya vidyalay Nandana	135	316	185	21	686	214	254	11	122	616
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Madurana (Uttari Bhag )	102	392	83	9	618	197	181	54	45	497
Prathamik Vidyalay, Jigina	132	285	137	6	599	179	234	2	92	519
Utramik Urdu Madhye Vidhalaye Naughara	54	948	46	3	1079	169	197	16	328	731
Utkramik Madhya.Vidyalay,Parwatapur	97	232	230	170	786	173	268	14	117	592
Madhya Vidyalay, Ramgadh (Paschmi Bhag)	131	225	281	132	869	250	288	60	228	851
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Padari	47	44	218	78	498	207	150	11	57	451
Prathmik Vidyalay, Umapur Booth No1	101	10	176	145	456	186	345	38	199	791
Utkramit Madhy Vidyalay, Kham Kala	113	18	252	95	546	209	55	18	60	359
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Jamuninar	65	132	271	121	670	252	147	54	65	529
Adiwasi Awasiya Unch Vidyalay, Badaganv Khurd	52	4	111	97	322	163	17	1	41	227
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Badap	41	25	190	150	495	197	56	6	15	283
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Dumaranva	299	10	61	39	566	201	54	4	197	470
Prathmik Vidyalay, Jhadpa	191	7	234	59	560	169	75	1	78	341
Madhya Vidyalay, Lohara	174	82	182	58	678	230	52	6	78	395
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Neurus	51	16	209	49	533	165	2	0	8	185
Total Votes	2566	4103	4033	1279	13571	4506	4049	613	2201	11851
Vote %	19%	30%	30%	9%		38%	34%	5%	19%

In these 22 polling booths, INC polled 19%, BJP polled 34% and JD(U) polled 38% in 2014 Parliament election. Congress should try to tap this JD(U) votes in 2019 Parliament Election.

Chenari (SC) Assembly Segment Analysis :

Mr. Lalan Paswan is the present MLA from RLSP. He contested the 2009 Parliament Election as RJD candidate. He contested as RJD candidate from Chenari(SC) in 2010 Assembly Election. He shifted to RLSP in 2015 Assembly Election. He won the 2015 Assembly Election defeating MangalRam of Congress.

In the last two elections, BSP polled 2.4% in 2014 Parliament Election and 3.61% in 2015 Assembly Election. So BSP lost its organization in this constituency.

JD(U) polled 8% in 2014 Parliament Constituency. Congress should try to tap this JD(U) votes in 2019 Parliament Election.

19 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled more than 100 in 2014 Parliament Election at Chenari(SC) Assembly Segment:

19 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled more than 100 votes in 2014 Parliament Election at Chenari(SC) Assembly Segment	2015 Assembly			2014 Parliament
	Mangal Ram	Lalan Paswan	Total	Karra Parasu Ramaiah	Chhedi Paswan	Baleshwar Bharti	Meira Kumar	Total
	INC	RLSP		JD(U)	BJP	BSP	INC
Panchayat Bhavan, Telari	350	351	788	154	264	42	206	707
Prathamik Vidyalay, Chorahi	253	118	384	118	216	8	41	396
Madhya Vidyalay, Malhipur (dakshini Bhag)	341	300	748	109	257	53	335	801
Madhya Vidyalay, Nad	327	197	550	102	159	7	254	546
Madhya Vidyalay, Alamapur (Purwi Bhag)	320	376	746	175	210	7	240	689
Utkramit MadhyaVidyalay Khatoliya	436	112	581	115	99	6	270	516
Prathamik Vidyalay, Sikandarapur	229	191	475	161	36	7	222	453
Madhya Vidyalay, Mohammadapur	419	176	766	137	92	29	416	706
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Kaudiyari Utar bhag Booth No1	123	280	469	156	145	17	246	639
Kanya Madhya Vidyalay Patakhauliya	325	339	776	143	301	10	214	721
Prathamik Vidyalay Govindapur	280	298	782	106	396	7	151	696
Madhya Vidyalya Ydunathapur	159	192	467	125	170	6	80	420
Madhya Vidyalay, Madhukupiya	419	98	573	106	173	10	144	476
Madhya Vidyalay Tiara Kala	420	215	752	106	232	18	224	658
Uchcha Vidyalay Chutiya	171	255	466	130	241	7	60	464
Kanya Madhya Vidyaly Nauhata	236	96	637	181	123	27	114	493
Madhy Vidyalay Anandichak	129	257	528	110	260	7	57	446
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay Jayntipur	317	207	756	101	138	12	335	642
Madhyavidyalay Daranagar (Pashchimi Bhag)	164	451	664	103	412	10	77	640
Total Votes	5418	4509	11908	2438	3924	290	3686	11109
Vote %	45%	38%		22%	35%	3%	33%

In these 19 polling booths, INC polled 33%. BJP polled 35% and JD(U) polled 22% in 2014 Parliament Election. In 2015 Assembly Election, When INC contested as part of Mahagatbandhan, INC polled 45%. INC should focus in these booths to tap the JD(U) votes in 2019 Parliament Election

Sasaram Assembly Segment Analysis:

The present MLA, MR. AshokKumar is from RJD.UPA is strong in this constituency. Congress was trailing by around 2000 votes in 2014 Parliament election. JD(U) polled around 9800 votes in 2014 Parliament Election. Congress should try to tap this JD(U) votes in the upcoming 2019 Parliament Election.

Mr. Krishnakumar Singh was elected to the Bihar Legislative Council in 2009 on a JD(U) ticket but left the party in 2010 and contested as independent candidate. He is an influential leader from Thakor Samaj. He polled 5.3% vote in 2015 Assembly Election. His contact Number is 9431605273.

19 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled more than 100 in 2014 at Sasaram Assembly Segment:

19 Polling Booths where JD(U) polled more than 100 in 2014 Parliament Election at Sasaram Assembly Segment	2015 Assembly				2014 Parliament
	Ashok Kumar	Jawahar Prasad	Krishina Kumar Singh	Total	Karra Parasu Ramaiah	Chhedi Paswan	Baleshwar Bharti	Meira Kumar	Total
	RJD	BJP	IND 1		JD(U)	BJP	BSP	INC
Madhya Vidyalay, Samaradiho	299	308	7	699	193	276	5	104	590
Prathamik Vidyalay, Shumbha	35	98	88	244	137	29	3	81	275
Prathamik Vidyalay, Maudiha	370	34	16	446	265	32	3	87	404
Prathamik Vidyalayat, Gadura	191	408	62	677	171	414	6	43	645
Prathamik Vidyalay, Karmadihari	270	159	32	506	217	150	4	37	431
Prathamik Vidyalay, Nekara	454	171	5	692	108	160	3	294	593
Kanya Prathamik Vidyalay Takiya,sasaram (Pashchimi Bhag)	215	133	2	385	106	120	6	107	382
rajkiykrit Kisan Madhya Vidyalay, Kuraich sasaram (Dakshini Bhag)	172	308	13	504	108	224	1	98	440
Samudayik Bhavan, Saina	240	55	40	372	101	108	4	86	317
Samudayik Bhavan, Shivapur	287	26	4	331	156	26	2	99	311
Prathamik Vidyalay, Bharakhoha	324	16	3	344	177	8	0	129	317
Samudayik Bhavan,Koidih	225	34	64	369	177	51	1	68	305
madhy vidhayal kushdhihraa	446	235	18	783	137	272	15	148	600
Rajakiy Nalakup Bhavan Behara	220	45	16	470	152	65	8	141	397
Prathamik Vidyalay Rediya	296	123	94	551	225	154	3	61	458
Madhya Vidyalay, ropahtha	333	146	29	579	149	191	6	65	446
Madhya Vidyalay Ramadihara	346	286	117	784	162	352	13	103	662
madhya vidyalaya supasrai (Purabi bhag)	614	33	10	694	250	26	8	257	587
madhya vidyalaya supasrai (paschim bhag)	289	194	8	540	130	165	4	97	414
Total Votes	5626	2812	628	9970	3121	2823	95	2105	8574
Vote %	56%	28%	6%		36%	33%	1%	25%

In these 19 polling booths, INC polled 25%. BJP polled 33% and JD(U) polled 36% in 2014 Parliament Election. In 2015 Assembly Election, When RJD contested as part of Mahagatbandhan, RJD polled 56%. JD(U) vote got transferred to RJD in 2015 Assembly Election. INC should focus in these booths to tap the JD(U) votes in 2019 Parliament Election.

14 Polling Booths where Mr. Krishna Kumar Singh (Independent candidate) is strong at Sasaram Assembly Segment:

14 Polling Booths where Mr.Krishna Kumar Singh independent candidate is strong at Sasaram Assembly Segment	2015 Assembly				2014 Parliament
	Ashok Kumar	Jawahar Prasad	Krishina Kumar Singh	Total	Karra Parasu Ramaiah	Chhedi Paswan	Baleshwar Bharti	Meira Kumar	Total
	RJD	BJP	IND 1		JD(U)	BJP	BSP	INC
Madhya Vidyalay, Dumariya	77	201	205	545	29	288	10	92	431
madhay Vidyalay Baradhi	59	246	156	500	52	342	2	42	448
Prathamik Vidyalay Shahapur	17	161	179	417	19	375	3	51	458
Madhya Vidyalay, Khudhanu	137	288	103	594	25	367	13	154	588
Nishan Sinh kendriy jila pusatakaly, sasaram rohtas ka ka nav nirmit bhavan ka (purwi bhag	161	263	100	532	25	275	1	138	453
Prathamik Vidyalay, Kota	388	172	109	793	52	253	8	322	669
madhya vidyalya shikriya (purwi bhag)	167	139	204	716	37	320	14	305	700
Madhya Vidyalay, Sikariyo(madhya Bhag)	97	136	168	450	16	273	10	100	425
Prathamik Vidyalay,Malonv	516	105	205	932	39	225	16	375	712
Madhya Vidyalay, Darigonv(Dakshini Bhag)	135	308	153	756	36	276	6	297	638
Madhya Vidyalay, Mirjapur (Dakshini Bhag )	164	61	171	430	11	214	4	99	346
Madhya Vidyalay, Huraka(Utari Bhag)	59	194	176	441	15	340	4	12	380
Madhya Vidyalay Ramadihara	346	286	117	784	162	352	13	103	662
Madhya Vidyalay, Bhisada	156	291	121	594	3	440	7	80	540
Total Votes	2479	2851	2167	8484	521	4340	111	2170	7450
Vote %	29%	34%	26%		7%	58%	1%	29%

In these 14 polling booths, INC polled 29%. BJP polled 58% and JD(U) polled 7% in 2014 Parliament Election. In 2015 Assembly Election, When Mr. Krishna Kumar Singh contested as independent candidate in 2015, RJD(Part of Mahagatbandhan) polled 29%. But the BJP vote share dropped to 34%.

In 2014 Parliament Election, Congress was trailing by 2170 Votes from these 14 polling booths. RJD was just trailing by 372 votes when Mr. Krishna Kumar Singh contested as independent candidate in 2015. Congress should try to induct him in Party. It will influence the Rajput votes in this area.

Related Links: http://www.catchnews.com/politics-news/sasaram-wants-to-vote-for-work-but-caste-stands-in-the-way-1444923761.html

Kargahar Assembly Segment Analysis :

The present MLA of Kargahar Mr. Bashist Singh is from JD(U). It is a multi corner constituency. Congress was trailing by around 1200 votes in 2014 Parliament Election from this Assembly Segment. JD(U) polled 26692 votes in 2014 Parliament Election.

Congress should focus the JD(U) votes in 2019 Parliament Election.

Mr. Alok Kumar Singh contested as Congress candidate in 2010 assembly election. He polled 14.2% vote. The seat was allotted to JD(U) as a part of Mahagatbandhan. Mr. Alok Kumar Contested 2015 Assembly Election as independent candidate. He polled 15.5% vote in 2015 as independent candidate. He should be inducted in Congress party. Contact Number of Mr. Alok Kumar Singh is 9204757600.

Mr. Ram Dhani Singh was MLA from JD(U) in 2010 Assembly Election. He was a miniter in the Bihar cabinet. He has been denied ticket by Mr. Nitish Kumar in 2015 Assembly Election. He contested as SP candidate in 2015 Assembly Election. He polled 6121 votes. He will be against Nitish Kumar and he should help Congress in the upcoming election. Contact Number of Mr. Ram Dhani Singh is 9431605354 .Refer the article : https://indianexpress.com/article/india/politics/bihar-minister-ramdhani-singh-resigns-over-denial-of-ticket/

Mr. Birendra Kumar Singh came 2^nd in the 2015 Assembly election from RLSP. The present MLA is from JD(U). So if he is looking for his political future, he should move to UPA. He should be contacted. Contact No of Mr. Birendra Kumar Singh is 9431837187.

43 Polling Booths where JD(U) is strong at Kargahar Assembly Segment:

43 Polling Booths where JD(U) is strong at Kargahar Assembly Seat	2015 Assembly					2014 Parliament
	Bashisth Singh	Birendra Kumar Singh	M.D Shamim Shah	Alok Kumar Singh	Total	Karra Parasu Ramaiah	Chhedi Paswan	Baleshwar Bharti	Meira Kumar	Total
	JD(U)	RLSP	BSP	IND 1		JD(U)	BJP	BSP	INC
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Sarosher	389	117	38	28	630	348	150	5	49	563
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Sorathi	374	59	1	3	488	352	99	3	3	464
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Rupi	339	54	23	122	635	274	164	7	26	481
Prathamik Vidyalay, Maudihara	266	37	73	89	570	217	88	18	90	423
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Bhadasara	261	144	113	16	599	220	49	16	194	502
Madhya Vidyalay, karmaini ,Purahara	178	118	116	44	534	250	151	11	103	522
Madhya Vidyalay, Rediya	483	50	91	4	699	335	53	29	76	503
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Kurusa	149	10	32	29	476	278	48	1	29	364
Prathamik Vidyalay, Amausi Dihara	218	84	0	27	436	228	33	2	119	389
Prathamik Vidyalay, Chitaini	563	59	178	45	930	213	75	24	339	698
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Katharai	318	213	100	142	912	264	327	16	150	804
MADHYA VIDYALAY KAPASIYA (UTTARI BHAG)	411	111	1	93	667	284	177	1	73	542
utkramit madhya vidhalay baradih	426	152	143	62	864	215	181	8	226	653
Prathamik Vidyalay, Ekavaniya	485	80	71	116	811	228	109	10	106	481
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Agarasi Dihara	334	242	122	24	826	217	217	8	136	607
utkramit madhy vidhalay rehari	435	115	17	9	606	301	97	1	102	505
Prathamik Vidyalay, Khairahi	189	13	127	60	474	266	38	61	26	395
Prathamik Vidyalay, Adai	313	11	1	35	403	269	34	2	13	324
Prathamik Vidyalay, Barahari	350	279	81	110	935	227	192	3	192	622
Prathamik Vidyalay, Chandrabhanapatti(Purwi Bhag)	615	13	0	0	651	432	26	1	12	483
Madhya Vidyalay, Akodhi(Bayo Bhag)	427	7	0	11	518	400	43	0	5	453
Madhya Vidyalay, Akodhi(Dayo Bhag)	493	5	172	4	721	448	67	9	134	679
utkramit madhya Vidyalay, Tendua Booth No1	574	169	56	90	963	274	78	14	232	622
Madhya Vidyalay, Dev Khaira	218	57	196	13	707	206	229	8	203	661
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Shahamal Khaira	373	51	203	12	754	283	107	9	220	625
Samudayik Bhavan, Shivan	365	31	3	91	569	209	63	2	90	382
Prathamik Vidyalay, Jhalkhor ( Purvi Bhag )	499	46	66	111	806	276	146	7	318	767
Prathamik Vidyalay, Thorasan	434	13	194	3	769	212	72	6	219	532
Madhya Vidyalay, Rivan	472	91	28	144	874	302	236	11	112	680
Uchcha Vidyalay, Bilari	480	207	5	18	811	312	214	3	99	650
Prathamik Vidyalay, Fakili	287	101	14	34	577	268	72	4	92	488
Prathamik Vidyalay, Basadiha	352	198	130	7	720	286	192	9	109	613
Prathamik Vidyalay, Ghoradiha	516	151	72	13	829	497	145	2	76	729
Prathamik Vidyalay, Pipari Booth No1	282	36	49	1	387	215	70	1	96	384
Prathamik Vidyalay Kushahi	268	67	64	25	514	286	107	4	73	481
Prathamik Vidyalay, Soni	218	93	22	2	412	201	74	2	89	369
Prathamik Vidyalay, Sahuar	360	131	234	108	943	219	193	8	327	772
Madhya Vidyalay, Jalalpur	509	49	134	12	797	465	132	5	83	695
Prathamik Vidyalay, Belasapur Booth No1	487	41	31	28	597	276	203	7	246	775
Madhya Vidyalay, Ramapur Naresh Booth No1	364	98	29	22	593	229	164	9	317	753
Prathamik Vidyalay, Dumara	331	214	102	137	936	222	272	8	217	744
Prathamik Vidyalay, Bhagavaliya	222	100	19	66	549	227	136	5	88	476
Madhya Vidyalay, Patadhi	461	208	108	59	935	256	156	19	264	729
Total Votes	16088	4125	3259	2069	29427	11987	5479	379	5773	24384
Vote %	55%	14%	11%	7%		49%	22%	2%	24%

In these 43 polling booths, JD(U) polled 49% in 2014 Parliament Election and 55% in 2015 Assembly Election. Congress polled 24% in 2014 from these 43 booths. Congress should focus in these booths to tap the JD(U) votes.

25 Polling Booths where Mr. Alok Kumar Singh(Independent candidate) is strong at Kargahar Assembly Segment:

25 Polling Booths where Mr. Alok Kumar Singh is strong at Kargahar Assembly Seat	2015 Assembly					2014 Parliament
	Bashisth Singh	Birendra Kumar Singh	M.D Shamim Shah	Alok Kumar Singh	Total	Karra Parasu Ramaiah	Chhedi Paswan	Baleshwar Bharti	Meira Kumar	Total
	JD(U)	RLSP	BSP	IND 1		JD(U)	BJP	BSP	INC
Prathamik Vidyalay, Latara	44	115	99	236	549	40	129	5	280	473
Madhya Vidyalay, Doiya	9	62	40	291	510	79	229	12	102	438
Prathamik Vidyalay, Jalavaiya	49	125	67	246	554	47	167	6	83	315
utkramit madhy vidhayalay khakhda	258	223	42	250	859	119	198	5	146	477
Madhya Vidyalay, Senduar	71	172	159	357	830	90	316	6	191	636
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Vasantapur	142	123	66	261	669	22	199	1	296	543
Uchcha Vidyalay, Dibhiya	143	281	90	220	791	33	296	9	273	639
Prathamik Vidyalay, Pran Dihara	10	57	91	215	404	24	155	9	156	356
Prathamik Vidyalay, Kanak Semariya	66	152	161	260	717	50	285	13	225	596
Prathamik Vidyalay, Shahar Medni	53	198	86	225	675	31	292	6	217	571
Prathamik Vidyalay, Siri	61	86	191	340	765	71	271	7	196	570
Prathamik Vidyalay, Mati	92	144	128	281	759	62	306	11	225	622
Prathamik Vidyalay, Baheri	32	212	94	242	722	11	284	14	171	501
utkramit madhya Vidyalay, Kudiyari	53	162	171	269	732	25	231	6	300	574
Prathamik Vidyalay, Kauakhonch	70	120	101	211	598	62	296	5	146	527
utkrmit madhya vidhalay, hamirpur	20	71	1	254	385	17	326	2	35	385
Prathamik Vidyalay,Kumhila	111	45	86	311	603	22	230	8	164	438
Uchcha Vidyalay, Karagahar( Dayan Bhag)	149	132	31	209	569	12	267	6	202	505
Utkramit madhaya vidalaya mohaniya	14	153	1	330	568	8	464	3	58	544
Madhya Vidyalay, Karup(Purwi Bhag)	4	117	41	239	449	11	187	18	174	412
Madhya Vidyalay, Silari	74	50	195	295	725	58	279	5	223	602
Prathamik Vidyalay, Auraiya	78	135	4	231	517	75	334	6	68	499
Utkramit Madhya Vidyalay, Biyar Bandh	9	108	128	204	479	4	205	5	154	376
Utkramit Knaya Madhya Vidyalay, Chamaraha	68	201	67	250	717	19	198	2	290	527
Krirshi Farm Samahuta	116	100	1	215	517	20	209	5	124	382
Total Votes	1796	3344	2141	6442	15663	1012	6353	175	4499	12508
Vote %	11%	21%	14%	41%		8%	51%	1%	36%

In these 25 polling booths, Mr. Alok Kumar Singh polled 41% in 2015 Assembly Election.If Congress can tap him, Congress will improve its performance significantly in these 25 Polling Booths.

Please Note : Congress was trailing by 1854 votes in 2014 Parliament Election.

Articles Regarding Sasaram(SC) Parliament Constituency :

https://www.firstpost.com/politics/meira-kumar-out-to-shed-neglecting-constituency-tag-in-sasaram-1468931.html

This article is written by Mr. Partha Pratim Das, Founder at Chanakyya,Contact No-9599955348

Source of the data is www.chanakyya.com